Projected growth future for the Bay Area, next 38 years

Of 9 Bay Area counties, the most growth is expected to occur in 4 counties:  Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa, San Mateo.  

 San Mateo Times/Aaron Kenney, 3/9/12. "Planners release new roadmap for Bay Area Growth."

"Regional planners released a new road map Friday for the Bay Area's long-term housing production, providing the clearest picture yet of where the growing population will live. The document forecasts that Santa Clara County will support the greatest share of job and population growth among the nine Bay Area counties over the next three decades, followed by Alameda County. Estimates of that growth are sure to spark discussion in the areas where it is concentrated, from Dublin and Concord in the East Bay to Los Altos and Morgan Hill in the South Bay.

Our 9 Bay Area counties

The document is the product of Plan Bay Area, a state-mandated initiative spearheaded by the Association of Bay Area Governments and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission to encourage transit-oriented, infill development and reduce greenhouse-gas emissions. Communities that agree to take on portions of that development become eligible for some of $250 million in federal transportation money.

The new report, dubbed the draft-preferred scenario, anticipates that the Bay Area's population will grow from about 7.2 million to 9.3 million by 2040. The region will add about 1.1 million jobs over that period for a total of 4.5 million, according to the report. Critics have argued that Plan Bay Area's estimates are inflated. Ken Kirkey, planning director for the Association of Bay Area Governments, responded this week by saying the numbers would be revised to the point of being conservative.....

 ....Plan Bay Area forecasts which communities will take on the most growth through 2040. Below are the five cities that will add the greatest percentage of housing units in each of four counties.  Percent  City 2010 2040 increase: Alameda County:  Dublin 15,780 36,560 132, Emeryville 6,650 12,430 87, Newark 13,410 18,870 4, Livermore 30,340 41,820 38, Hayward 48,300 62,080 29.  Contra Costa County:  Oakley 11,480 18,140 58, Hercules 8,550 13,360 56, Concord 47,130 66,860 42, Pittsburg 21,130 29,450 39, San Pablo 9,570 11,690 22.  San Mateo County:  Brisbane 1,930 7,030 264, Colma 590 840 42, Burlingame 13,030 16,940 30, Millbrae 8,370 10,690 28, Redwood City 29,170 37,290 28.  Santa Clara County:  Los Altos 11,200 16,820 50, Milpitas 19,810 29,590 49, Morgan Hill 12,860 17,750 38, San Jose 314,040 430,910 37, Sunnyvale 55,790 74,430 33."  Read the full article.

Reference: Association of Bay Area Governments 

Posted by Kathy Meeh